By Charles Riley and Heather Long
British business leaders warned for months that if U.K. voters chose to exile themselves from the European Union, there would be swift, negative consequences.
On Friday, their fears were realized. The pound was hammered, bank stocks plunged and investors preyed on companies that do most of their business in the U.K. There’s now a real debate if London will remain a global financial capital.
British Airways owner IAG almost immediately issued a profit warning. The company said it anticipates minimal long-term impact, but it issued a profit warning because of a difficult trading environment and current market volatility.
Banks take big hits
Aftershocks from the vote were felt widely: Big banks, many of which run their European operations from London’s Canary Wharf, were among the hardest hit. Barclays shares were down 20%, Lloyds Bank 21% and RBS 18%. It’s possible that thousands of jobs will be cut in the sector, as many banks have threatened to move their operations out of London.
U.S. banks also got hit, feeling the impacts of the “special relationship” America has with trading in London. Morgan Stanley fell 8%, Citigroup slid 7% and Goldman Sachs was down 5%. Invesco, an investment firm headquartered in the U.S. but with a substantial presence in the U.K. was the worst performer in the entire S&P 500, falling over 10%.
In a message sent to staffers, CEO Jamie Dimon said that JP Morgan’s 16,000 employees in the U.K. would continue to serve clients as usual. He warned, however, that the bank may “need to make changes to our European legal entity structure and the location of some roles.”
Beyond the banks: Automakers, airlines
It wasn’t just big banks, though. The FTSE 250, which is made up of mostly mid-sized British companies, plummeted by 12% as London opened for business. It ended the day down just shy of 7%.
Moody’s warned that automakers, manufacturers and food producers in Britain could suffer from higher trade barriers and reduced volumes. The credit ratings agency said increased regulatory risk would hit telecom firms, airlines and drug makers.
Some of those fears were felt in the U.S. as well. BorgWarner, an autoparts maker, tanked nearly 9%. CF Industries, a company from Illinois that makes fertilizers, fell 7%.
House builders were also tipped as big losers. Analysts are worried that a sharp decline in consumer confidence will hurt home sales. Foreign buyers might also find London a much less attractive option for property investment.
There are tremendous levels of uncertainty facing British businesses. London must now establish new trading relationships with its major foreign partners, and determine the immigration status of EU migrants currently working in the U.K.
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