Professor Helmut Norpoth told Mediaite that “This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced,” Called the “Primary Model”, Norpoth says Trump has a 91% chance of winning in 2020—even bettering his 2016 Electoral count. Norpoth’s model a ignores opinion polls (Ed: shouldn’t we all?). Read all about it and judge for yourself, here:
Trump Has 91 Percent Chance of Winning Reelection: Political Science Professor
and here:
https://www.newsmax.com/politics/trump-biden-election-model/2020/07/08/id/976308/
